Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 198.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the OVER up to 198.5 (-104) after it opened @ 192.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.55 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Daniel Jones has been among the bottom passers in football this year, averaging 197.0 yards per game while checking in at the 24th percentile.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the least yards in football (just 181.0 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 6.92 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards