Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight

Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 18.5 (-110) after it opened @ 19.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
The New York Jets offense has played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.56 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to notch 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Conklin has been among the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a stellar 33.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Cons

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 32.0) to tight ends this year.
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to TEs this year (64.6%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, conceding 6.62 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.
The New England Patriots defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards