Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-112) after it opened @ 66.5 (-115).

Pros

The Eagles are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 16.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.

Cons

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Miles Sanders’s ground efficiency has declined this season, accumulating just 4.65 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.44 mark last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards