Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 59.5 (-115) after it opened @ 62.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to notch 14.8 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has received 58.1% of his team’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Opposing squads have rushed for the least yards in football (just 85 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards