Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Breece Hall from EV Insight

Breece HallRushing Yards

Right now, Breece Hall’s rushing yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-120) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).

Pros

Breece Hall has received 46.4% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Breece Hall has grinded out 66.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (92nd percentile).
Breece Hall’s running efficiency (5.77 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (94th percentile among running backs).
Breece Hall has been among the leading running backs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 5.12 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 99th percentile.

Cons

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are a massive 8.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 4th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 4th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has had the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.38 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Rushing Yards