Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Bills vs. Raiders
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-110) after it opened @ 21.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Austin Hooper has accrued a colossal 28.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among tight ends.
- Austin Hooper’s 29.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 81st percentile for tight ends.
- Austin Hooper has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, hauling in an impressive 75.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 31.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
- The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, allowing 5.17 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the league.
- The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
