NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Darius SlaytonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cardinals vs. Giants
Right now, Darius Slayton’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-139/+108).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (+108) after it opened @ 31.5 (-117).
Pros
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Darius Slayton has received a colossal 29.8% of his offense’s air yards since the start of last season: 85th percentile among wide receivers.
- Darius Slayton has been among the top WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 80th percentile.
- The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Cons
- The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 126.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards
36
Receiving Yards
