Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 228.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Rams are a massive 7.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 58.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 7.17 yards-per-target: the 8th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.08 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
273
Passing Yards