Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Hunter HenryReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Patriots vs. Dolphins
Right now, Hunter Henry’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-115) after it opened @ 33.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Patriots have been the 7th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
- Hunter Henry has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 32.0 yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
Cons
- The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
- The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards
37
Receiving Yards
