Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Sam LaPorta from EV Insight

Sam LaPortaReceiving Yards

Right now, Sam LaPorta’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-105/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-105) after it opened @ 33.5 (-108).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Sam LaPorta to total 4.9 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Sam LaPorta has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in an impressive 100.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the most receiving yards per game in the league (72.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

Cons

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Lions rank as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards