Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Nick ChubbRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Steelers vs. Browns
Right now, Nick Chubb’s rushing yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-132/+102).
The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-132) after it opened @ 75.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to garner 17.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
- Nick Chubb has been given 59.3% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
- Nick Chubb has generated 89.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (98th percentile).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Rushing Yards
80
Rushing Yards
