Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Lamar Jackson from EV Insight

Lamar JacksonPassing Yards

Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties grade out as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Cons

The Ravens have been the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 55.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.22 seconds per play.
Lamar Jackson has attempted a measly 27.9 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among QBs.
Lamar Jackson has been among the worst passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 192.0 yards per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 201.0 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
267
Passing Yards