WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Patriots vs. Dolphins
Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 13.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has received 52.4% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 57.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (80th percentile).
- Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the top running backs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.67 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 97th percentile.
Cons
- The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.
- The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the 10th-least yards in football (just 111 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards
60
Rushing Yards
