Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Lions vs. Seahawks
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
Cons
- The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 55.9 plays per game.
- D.K. Metcalf has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards
80
Receiving Yards
