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Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers: Mariners -146 (BetRivers)
Mariners -146 @ Tigers +128 Total 7.5 (BetRivers)
I’m going to keep this writeup short since we have an hour until first pitch.
Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez has made two starts since being activated off the restricted list. We’ve seen a decrease in his velocity and an inability to miss bats. In both starts he recorded a swinging-strike percentage of 2.6%, well below his career average of 10.7%. The Mariners have had success vs southpaws this season, posting the seventh-best wRC+ since July 1 at 121.
Logan Gilbert has pitched well this season, with a 3.49 ERA, a 3.72 FIP and 4.04 SIERA. He shouldn’t have too much trouble against this Tigers lineup that has the second-worst wRC+ vs right-handed pitching since July, at 75 (25% below league average).
The Tigers bullpen was great in the first half of the season but carries the ninth-worst ERA post-All-Star break. While the Mariners pen has been lights out with the fourth-best ERA and the sixth-best FIP in the second half.
I’m projecting Gilbert to pitch into the sixth inning and for the Mariners to stay hot as they continue their playoff push. As always, be sure to check out FTN’s Live Odds Screen to grab the best number on the market.
Bet: Mariners -146