The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (8/18)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook.

Red Sox (+104), Yankees (-122)
Total: 10.0 runs
Nick Pivetta (R) vs. Andrew Heaney (L)

Boston has been surging recently – their .343 wOBA and .197 ISO is at the top of the league.
The Yankees need to wake up at the plate – their .163 ISO and 24.6% whiff rate are ugly.
Andrew Heaney and Yankee Stadium is a match made in hell. Heaney was bombed again last start for seven earned, and he’s allowed for earned runs or more in six of nine starts.

Best bets: This is an OVER bet all the way. These arms are in total struggle mode.

Braves (-240), Marlins (+190)
Total: 8.0 runs
Charlie Morton (R) vs. Jesús Luzardo (L)

Charlie Morton has saved this Braves staff – in the last month, he’s posted a 2.79 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over the last 29 innings.
The Braves are better at the plate – they’ve got a .333 wOBA in the last month.
The Marlins stink – they have a .312 wOBA and a 24.9% whiff rate.

Best bets: I think the Braves are a must play here – a same-game parlay makes a ton of sense.

Angels (-134), Tigers(+114)
Total: 8.0 runs
Shohei Ohtani (R) vs. Tarik Skubal (L)

The Angels have really been struggling at the plate – their .285 WOBA and .130 ISO have been awful.
Shohei Ohtani has to be the MVP, right? Over his last 25 innings, the dude has an impressive 1.44 ERA and 0.76 WHIP.
Detroit has vacillated between good and bad at the plate – and they are improving right now, logging a .185 ISO and .328 wOBA.

Best bets: This screams F3/F5 bet on the Angels – plenty of value here.

Brewers (-124), Cardinals (+106)
Total: 7.0 runs
Freddy Peralta (R) vs. Jack Flaherty (R)

Milwaukee has been improving at the plate recently – the Brewers’ strikeout rate in the last month is under 20%.
The mega arms just keep rolling out for the Brewers – this time, it’s Freddy Peralta.
The Cardinals have a 23.4% strikeout rate and a .180 ISO in the last month.

Best bets: The UNDER. Flaherty is brilliant and the Cards stink offensively.

Mariners (-176), Rangers (+148)
Total: 9.0 runs
Marco Gonzales (L) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (R)

What happened to the Rangers offensively? Their .244 wOBA in the last month is awful.
A .310 wOBA for the Mariners isn’t anything crazy, but it’s a big improvement over their last stretch.
Don’t expect a ton of homers here – the .158 ISO mark for the Mariners and .128 ISO mark for the Rangers is pathetic.

Best bets: Marco Gonzales has been really good as of late – I like the UNDER here.

Athletics (+168), White Sox (-200)
Total: 8.5 runs
Cole Irvin (L) vs. Lance Lynn (R)

The White Sox are straight fire at the dish – their .203 ISO in the last 30 days is fifthbest in baseball.
The A’s aren’t exactly crushing the ball (.157 ISO), but they do have a solid .327 wOBA.
Could Lance Lynn win the Cy Young? His sub-2.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP have been spicy.

Best bets: This game is a toss-up due to two great teams, but go with the White Sox and the better pitcher.

Astros (-198), Royals (+166)
Total: 9.5 runs
Zack Greinke (R) vs. Brady Singer (R)

Brady Singer was rocked in his return – he only generated five swings and misses in his last start.
Kansas City doesn’t whiff a ton (21.9%), but their .295 WOBA in the last month has stunk.
The Astros have heated back up at the dish – their .327 wOBA in the last month has them at 11th in the league.

Best bets: Find your favorite home run prop on the Astros. Singer stinks.

Phillies (-146), Diamondbacks (+124)
Total: 9.5 runs
Ranger Suárez (L) vs. Humberto Castellanos (R)

The Phillies are getting hot at the right time – they have a 10.7% walk rate and .327 wOBA in the last month.
The Diamondbacks are the opposite – they have logged a .163 ISO with a 23.9% strikeout rate.
This is a bullpen game for both sides – who can come out on top?

Best bets: The Snakes are a bad team – take a F3/F5 bet here on the Phillies.