Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions will look to make their second consecutive appearance in the NFC Championship game with a victory Saturday night. Standing in their path are the red-hot Washington Commanders, led by rookie phenom Jayden Daniels.
I have a four-leg same game parlay tailor-made for this game, which promises to be an exciting matchup.
Divisional Round Saturday Night Same-Game Parlay
Terry McLaurin 50+ Receiving Yards
McLaurin has exceeded 50 receiving yards in 13 of 18 games this season, averaging 65.8 per game. Per StatsHub, he leads all Washington receivers in target share (20.3%), route participation (83.3%) and snap share (74.6%). The Commanders are 9.5-point underdogs in this one, so the opportunities will continue to be there for McLaurin with Washington expected to be playing from behind. Over the past five games, McLaurin is averaging nine targets per game. Per FTN’s DVP Tool, the Lions have allowed the most receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts (186.1).
Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ Rushing Yards
Gibbs has been phenomenal in his sophomore campaign, rushing for over 1,400 yards and tying for first in the league with 16 rushing touchdowns. In the absence of his running mate David Montgomery (back for Saturday), Gibbs stepped up for the Lions’ offense, putting together three straight games with over 100 yards rushing for the first time in his career. He has exceeded 70 rushing yards in 11 of 17 games, averaging 83 per game. The Commanders have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game to opposing running backs (113.8).
Jameson Williams 4+ Receptions
Willams has excelled this season as the secondary option for the Lions’ passing attack. He ranks second on the team in target share (15.6%), and third in route participation (78.9%) and snap share (70.6%). Williams has exceeded four receptions in nine of 15 games, averaging 3.9 receptions per game on 6.1 targets per game. He’s performed better at home this season, clearing four receptions in six of eight games, averaging 4.4 receptions per game. Williams averaged only 3.3 receptions per game on the road and went under four receptions in four of seven games.
Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ Receiving Yards
St. Brown was once again the primary weapon in the Detroit passing game, leading the team in target share (24.1%), route participation (91.8%) and snap share (86.3%). He’s exceeded 60 receiving yards in eight of the last 10 games, averaging 85.5 yards per game. Per FTN’s DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, the Commanders have allowed opposing WR1s to produce at a rate 12% above the league average, ranking fifth-worst defensively.
Best Bet
Terry McLaurin 50+ Receiving Yards
Jahmyr Gibbs 70+ Rushing Yards
Jameson Williams 4+ Receptions
Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ Receiving Yards
SGP Odds: +415, FanDuel Sportsbook