Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Travis Etienne to earn 19.0 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has been much more involved in his offense’s rushing attack this season (66.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.6%).
With a fantastic rate of 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (93rd percentile), Travis Etienne ranks among the best pure runners in football this year.
This year, the shaky Steelers run defense has allowed a massive 143.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 4th-most in football.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Jaguars ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year.
Travis Etienne’s ground efficiency has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 3.92 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.07 mark last season.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards