Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Commanders vs. Eagles
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-115) after it opened @ 65.5 (-110).
Pros
- A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Eagles to run on 46.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- The predictive model expects D’Andre Swift to earn 13.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
- D’Andre Swift has been a more important option in his team’s rushing attack this season (45.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.3%).
- D’Andre Swift’s 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies an impressive progression in his running proficiency over last year’s 38.0 rate.
Cons
- The model projects the Eagles offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
- As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Washington’s group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards
62
Rushing Yards
