Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Garrett Wilson from EV Insight

Garrett WilsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Garrett Wilson’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Jets may rely on the pass game less in this week’s game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
The projections expect Garrett Wilson to garner 9.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
As it relates to air yards, Garrett Wilson grades out in the lofty 89th percentile among wideouts this year, totaling a colossal 95.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point growth in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Garrett Wilson has been more heavily featured in his offense’s air attack.
With a fantastic 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (80th percentile) this year, Garrett Wilson has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jets to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards