Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 38.5 (-120) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Texans to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Texans have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 61.7 plays per game.
This week, Dalton Schultz is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 87th percentile among tight ends with 5.5 targets.
Dalton Schultz has posted a colossal 45.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz’s 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 90th percentile for TEs.

Cons

The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
A rushing game script is suggested by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The model projects the Texans as the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
Dalton Schultz is positioned as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in just 64.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards