Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-110).

Pros

The Bears will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyson Bagent in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This week’s spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Bears, who are huge -8.5-point underdogs.
The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.
D.J. Moore has run a route on 95.4% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among wide receivers.
D.J. Moore has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (87.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

Cons

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Bears offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.21 seconds per snap.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards