Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Courtland Sutton from EV Insight

Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-110).

Pros

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.2% of his team’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The projections expect Courtland Sutton to earn 7.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Courtland Sutton grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 57.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.
Courtland Sutton’s receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 59.4% to 75.7%.

Cons

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the model to call just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.
After totaling 100.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 63.0 per game.
Courtland Sutton is positioned as one of the bottom wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards