Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Vikings vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 246.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 246.5 (-115) after it opened @ 234.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 66.4 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have thrown for the 7th-most yards in football (280.0 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
Cons
- Kyler Murray’s passing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 63.8%.
- Kyler Murray’s passing efficiency has tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 6.10 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 figure last season.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
265
Passing Yards
265
Passing Yards
