Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenny PickettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Steelers vs. Jaguars
Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 213.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 213.5 (-110) after it opened @ 218.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
- The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
- In this contest, Kenny Pickett is projected by the predictive model to total the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.4.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 43.7 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in football.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the league (283.0 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.
Cons
- The Steelers have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
- The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
- Kenny Pickett’s passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 64.9% to 60.1%.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Jacksonville’s unit has been great this year, profiling as the best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
250
Passing Yards
250
Passing Yards
