Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 253.5 (-115) after it opened @ 255.5 (-118).

Pros

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
With an outstanding total of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (75th percentile), Jalen Hurts ranks as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year.
This year, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a monstrous 264.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 5th-most in football.
The Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington’s group of LBs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Eagles offense to be the 10th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
In this week’s contest, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.3.

Projection

THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards