WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-108/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-108) after it opened @ 77.5 (-114).
Pros
- An extreme running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- In this week’s contest, Kenneth Walker is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.8 rush attempts.
- Kenneth Walker has earned 69.9% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
- With a stellar rate of 72.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (91st percentile), Kenneth Walker has been as one of the best pure rushers in the league this year.
- Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (140 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- Right now, the 9th-least run-centric team in the NFL (37.1% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Seattle Seahawks.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
- Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
- The Seahawks offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
105
Rushing Yards
105
Rushing Yards
