Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Isiah PachecoRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Chiefs vs. Chargers
Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 63.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-110).
Pros
- A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
- The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- In this week’s contest, Isiah Pacheco is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.4 rush attempts.
- Isiah Pacheco has been a more important option in his offense’s ground game this year (59.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (40.9%).
- Isiah Pacheco’s 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a a significant progression in his running talent over last season’s 50.0 figure.
Cons
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 38.1% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
68
Rushing Yards
68
Rushing Yards
