Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-115) after it opened @ 21.5 (-114).

Pros

Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Seahawks.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.55 seconds per play.
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
Noah Fant has posted quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Noah Fant’s receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 78.4% to 91.3%.

Cons

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Noah Fant has notched quite a few less air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (25.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Noah Fant has been relied on much less in his team’s air attack.
This year, the fierce Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded a paltry 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-best in the NFL.
This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded a feeble 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards