Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Seahawks.
- Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
- With an outstanding 69.2% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Geno Smith ranks among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.
- With an excellent 7.38 adjusted yards-per-target (76th percentile) this year, Geno Smith stands as one of the most effective QBs in the NFL.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- An extreme running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
239
Passing Yards
239
Passing Yards
