Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 35.5 (-110).

Pros

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a monstrous 64.4 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
Tyler Higbee has been among the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 39.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

Cons

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite this week.
The model projects the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has conceded a paltry 34.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-fewest in football.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.4%) to tight ends this year (67.4%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards