Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
49ers vs. Cowboys
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 80.5 (-110) after it opened @ 78.5 (-114).
Pros
- This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
- Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to run on 45.5% of their downs: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
- Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
- The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to notch 18.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
- Christian McCaffrey has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (126.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the 49ers offense as the most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 31.28 seconds per play.
- The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends rank as the best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
82
Rushing Yards
82
Rushing Yards
