WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Dolphins vs. Giants
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 38.5 (-110) after it opened @ 32.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants are a big 13-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The projections expect the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
- In this week’s contest, Wan’Dale Robinson is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 75th percentile among wide receivers with 6.2 targets.
- The Dolphins defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (183.0) to WRs this year.
Cons
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 5.59 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.85 figure last year.
- With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (0th percentile) since the start of last season, Wan’Dale Robinson stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the league in space.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards
46
Receiving Yards
