Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Raiders vs. Packers
Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- In this game, Romeo Doubs is predicted by the model to slot into the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.3 targets.
- Romeo Doubs has been a more important option in his offense’s passing game this season (25.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (15.6%).
- Romeo Doubs’s 61.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a a meaningful progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 36.0 rate.
Cons
- The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Packers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.0 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: fewest in football.
- The Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards
65
Receiving Yards
