Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love from EV Insight

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-110) after it opened @ 237.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Packers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the poor Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a monstrous 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the highest rate in football.
The Raiders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.00 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in football.

Cons

The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: fewest in football.
With a subpar 57.9% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Jordan Love stands as one of the least on-target QBs in football.
The Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
282
Passing Yards