Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jonathan WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Right now, Jonathan Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 44.8% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Williams to notch 15.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
- Jonathan Williams’s ground effectiveness (4.91 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (78th percentile among RBs).
Cons
- The Washington Commanders will be rolling out backup quarterback Sam Howell this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense owns the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering just 4.43 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
