Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Aaron Jones from EV Insight

Aaron JonesRushing Yards

Right now, Aaron Jones’s rushing yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-110).

Pros

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 14.0 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has garnered 51.5% of his team’s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
The Detroit Lions defense owns the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.41 yards-per-carry.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 6th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards