Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 33.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.5% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to notch 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
- Dalton Schultz has compiled a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
- Dalton Schultz has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
- Dalton Schultz’s sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 66.7%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
