Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jared GoffPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Packers vs. Lions
Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (+100/-137).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 245.5 (-137) after it opened @ 252.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 10th-most of all quarterbacks.
- Jared Goff has passed for many more yards per game (258.0) this year than he did last year (228.0).
- Jared Goff’s throwing effectiveness has improved this season, notching 7.46 yards-per-target vs a measly 6.46 figure last season.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.8%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
- The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 216.0 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
- The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards
229
Passing Yards
