Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) to tight ends this year (76.8%).

Cons

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 39.0) versus TEs this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.34 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards