Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Drew LockPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Seahawks vs. Eagles
Right now, Drew Lock’s passing yards prop is set at 240.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
- Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (41.6 per game) this year.
- Opposing offenses have thrown for the most adjusted yards in football (275.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Seahawks have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
- The projections expect Drew Lock to throw 1.8 passes in this contest, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
- This year, the fierce Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a feeble 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
213
Passing Yards
213
Passing Yards
