Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Team Profile
Washington Commanders
9-5-0
2nd
NFC East
-
13.8% 6thOff DVOA
-
33.7% 5thPassing DVOA
-
2.8% 8thRushing DVOA
-
6% 25thDef DVOA
-
13.2% 24thDef Passing DVOA
-
-1.9% 26thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
-
Points For26.9 7th
-
Points Against23.1 17th
-
Yards Per Game374.0 5th
-
Yards Allowed Per Game322.0 11th
Ftn model pick
38.79%
61.21%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Spread
|
|
|
|
|
|
Moneyline
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Washington Commanders
-
Jayden Daniels5 QB -
Brian Robinson Jr.8 RB
-
26J.McNichols26 RB
-
Terry McLaurin17 WR
-
Luke McCaffrey12 WR
-
Zach Ertz86 TE
Matchup STATS
Rank
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
26.9
|
7 th
|
17.6
|
1 st
|
Points Per Game
|
26.4
|
8 th
|
23.1
|
17 th
|
|
374.0
|
5 th
|
276.0
|
1 st
|
Yards Per Game
|
373.0
|
6 th
|
322.0
|
11 th
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3,058
|
17 th
|
2,427
|
1 st
|
Passing Yards
|
2,618
|
28 th
|
2,655
|
4 th
|
|
7.3
|
8 th
|
5.5
|
1 st
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
7.3
|
8 th
|
6.7
|
16 th
|
|
19
|
12 th
|
15
|
5 th
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
18
|
16 th
|
23
|
21 st
|
|
6
|
7 th
|
8
|
20 th
|
Interceptions
|
5
|
4 th
|
5
|
28 th
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Pass Rate
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
st
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Man Yards Per Attempt
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
Zone Yards Per Attempt
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
st
|
Time to Throw
|
|
nd
|
|
th
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2,177
|
3 rd
|
1,431
|
6 th
|
Rushing Yards
|
2,607
|
1 st
|
1,850
|
24 th
|
|
4.9
|
5 th
|
4.2
|
8 th
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
5.1
|
3 rd
|
4.8
|
28 th
|
|
23
|
3 rd
|
9
|
5 th
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
26
|
2 nd
|
13
|
15 th
|
|
10
|
5 th
|
19
|
2 nd
|
Fumbles
|
13
|
16 th
|
12
|
18 th
|
|
42.9%
|
9 th
|
37.4%
|
8 th
|
Rush Rate
|
52.3%
|
1 st
|
44.2%
|
26 th
|
|
|
rd
|
|
th
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
st
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
th
|
|
nd
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
th
|
|
th
|
Player Projections
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20.2
|
30.5
|
66.3
|
189.2
|
6.2
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
39.9
|
0.4
|
17.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.5
|
74.8
|
4.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
1.8
|
14.3
|
-
|
12.0
|
|
|
3.9
|
18.4
|
4.7
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
1.0
|
3.3
|
-
|
3.1
|
|
|
1.8
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.3
|
2.1
|
-
|
1.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.8
|
62.6
|
13.1
|
0.4
|
-
|
-
|
10.8
|
|
|
2.3
|
21.9
|
9.5
|
0.2
|
1.4
|
-
|
4.5
|
|
|
2.2
|
20.2
|
9.2
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.6
|
|
|
2.7
|
23.9
|
8.9
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
4.7
|
|
|
1.8
|
15.3
|
8.7
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
2.8
|
|
|
0.9
|
7.7
|
8.4
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.6
|
|
|
1.1
|
5.4
|
4.8
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.5
|
|
|
0.9
|
8.3
|
9.8
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1.2
|
|
|
0.6
|
4.2
|
7.5
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16.1
|
24.1
|
66.8
|
203.3
|
8.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
52.3
|
0.7
|
21.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19.3
|
112.0
|
5.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
2.1
|
20.0
|
0.1
|
18.1
|
|
|
5.2
|
26.8
|
5.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
1.0
|
6.7
|
0.1
|
4.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.8
|
83.5
|
17.3
|
0.5
|
-
|
-
|
13.3
|
|
|
4.5
|
54.0
|
12.1
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
9.1
|
|
|
2.1
|
25.5
|
11.9
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
4.5
|
|
|
0.9
|
9.3
|
10.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
1.7
|
|
|
0.6
|
4.5
|
7.1
|
0.0
|
-
|
-
|
1.0
|
