Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
The prop bet market is one of the softest you will find when betting on NFL games. The sheer magnitude of potential plays from touchdown scorers, to passing yards, to rush attempts means that books are likely to hang a few bad numbers that we can exploit. By using a combination of our FTN projections and comparing them to the books numbers though our FTNBets Prop Shop, we can see where the value is. For week 4, the FanDuel sportsbook has a few mispriced numbers we should be looking to take advantage of.
My three favorite prop bets at FanDuel for NFL Week 4
Here are three bets I’m targeting in Week 4 on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Antonio Brown racks up receptions in his return
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to New England to take on the Patriots Sunday night. In case you have been living under a rock this week, I will inform you that the league is drooling over this game as Tom Brady goes back to New England. Rob Gronkowski is listed as doubtful here, and his absence would open up extra targets for the other pass catchers. Antonio Brown is expected to be back in the lineup and even with Gronk, I would think this is a good price on a fair number of catches from one of Brady’s favorite targets.
Miles Sanders should find the end zone
My colleague Alex Blickle put me on to this one in his article this week. The Chiefs rank in the bottom five of the league in many categories against the run. Not only are they bad against it, but running the football keeps the explosive Chiefs offense on the sideline and allows your defense to rest Philly should look to pound the run today as they do not have the offensive firepower to beat the Chiefs in a shootout. Sanders has HR ability and can turn any touch into a house call. At +125, I like the payout on something I think should be closer to even money today.
Expect Tom Brady to light up Foxborough
Over 302.5 passing yard, -114
Does anyone not think Brady wants to go into Foxborough and stick it to the coach that kind of ran him out of town? I know I do, and I know our Eliot Crist does as well. Check out Eliot’s Prop picks here as he breaks down why he loves the Brady over in this Sunday night game:
