Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Fantasy football drafts are underway, and there are still leagues drafting during the final week of the preseason. Each team provides myriad players to choose, so it’s critical to identify the best players from each team to target in your drafts. You end up with a winning squad. Get those fantasy football cheat sheets and fantasy football rankings ready as we go through the best fantasy football pick from every single NFL team.
Average draft position data comes from FTN’s Underdog ADP tool. Friday, the worst fantasy football pick from each team.
The Best Fantasy Pick on Each NFL Team for 2024
Arizona Cardinals: James Conner, RB
Constantly undervalued, James Conner was an RB1 the last five times he took the field in 2023. Per FTN StatsHub, Conner played only 13 games, but still ranked eighth overall in first downs (57) and sixth in rushing yards (1060). The only concern is injury, which is true of any player, especially running backs. Allow FTN’s Chris Meaney to say it clearer.
Atlanta Falcons: Darnell Mooney, WR
This is a strict ADP play, as Mooney currently resides as the WR64 on Underdog. He is being drafted around players such as Mike Williams, Michael Wilson, Josh Downs and Xavier Legette. He is still only 26 years old, plays indoors with Kirk Cousins and has 4.38 speed and a 1,000-yard season on his resume.
Baltimore Ravens: Mark Andrews, TE
Per FTN’s Splits Tool, Andrews has averaged one touchdown every two games over the past four seasons with Lamar Jackson as quarterback. That level of consistency is fantasy gold at the shallow tight end position.
Buffalo Bills: Curtis Samuel, WR
Samuel is only being drafted as the WR50 on Underdog, but he posted the overall WR27 season the last time he was with offensive coordinator Joe Brady (Carolina, 2020). Still only 28 years old with incredible versatility and 4.31 speed.
Carolina Panthers: Adam Thielen, WR
Raise your hand if you knew Adam Thielen had 103 receptions last year? He is being drafted as WR68. Yes, WR68.
Chicago Bears: DJ Moore, WR
Moore has posted 93 or more receptions in two of the past three seasons, with extremely suspect quarterback play. He has more target competition with Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze, but he is Chicago’s clear WR1. Moore is barely going as a WR2, residing as the 22nd wideout off the draft board.
Cincinnati Bengals: Chase Brown, RB
The drumbeat has continued all offseason for Brown, who is available in the mid to late round of redraft leagues. Don’t take my word for it, take the word of his offensive tackle.
Cleveland Browns: David Njoku, TE
This offense has concerns, especially the health of quarterback Deshaun Watson. But Njoku posted the TE7 line last year with 81 receptions, 882 receiving yards and six touchdowns, while dealing with inconsistent quarterback play all year.
Dallas Cowboys: Rico Dowdle, RB
Dowdle is the clear RB1, with his ADP getting suppressed by washed running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Dalvin Cook. He has great burst and good size, with a 4.1 YPC average last season on 89 carries.
Denver Broncos: Jaleel McLaughlin, RB
Head coach Sean Payton loves throwing to his running backs and the release of Samaje Perine opens the door for the talented and speedy 2023 UDFA from Youngstown State.
Detroit Lions: Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR
Sometimes the obvious answer is the best answer. St. Brown ranked fourth in targets per game (10.3) and third in receptions per game (7.4).
Green Bay Packers: Christian Watson, WR
In the last three seasons, when Christian Watson has seen at least five targets per game, he has posted 3.9 receptions, 61.6 receiving yards and 0.7 touchdowns, per the FTN Splits Tool. Projecting that for a full season, that’s 66.3 receptions, 1047.2 receiving yards and 11.9 touchdowns. Not bad for the current WR41. Imagine if he sees more than five targets per game?
Houston Texans: Cam Akers, RB
It would be the ultimate irony if this year’s late-round RB1 is Houston’s Cam Akers, after last year’s late-round RB1, Kyren Williams, took Akers’ starting spot. Texans backup RB Dameon Pierce looked terrible in the preseason, and RB1 Joe Mixon is an aging veteran changing teams. Take a flier on Akers with your last-round pick.
Indianapolis Colts: Josh Downs, WR
There is such much uncertainty in this passing attack, led by polarizing quarterback Anthony Richardson. The speedy Downs has a microscopic ADP of WR66 and is coming off a preseason injury. Low risk, high reward.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Travis Etienne, RB
Etienne saw the third-highest snap share of any RB1, registering at 72.1% per FTN StatsHub. Backup Tank Bigsby has struggled, which secures Etienne’s touch share in an explosive Jacksonville offense.
Kansas City Chiefs: Rashee Rice, WR
If Rice doesn’t get suspended, he is the best value in fantasy football. He posted five straight games of nine or more targets in Weeks 12-16 last season, top 10 among all wide receivers in red zone targets (22).
Las Vegas Raiders: Brock Bowers, TE
Beat reporter Adam Hill revealed the Raiders intention to give Bowers goal-line carries on the FTN Team Preview Series. Combined with his first-round draft capital, that’s a great value at TE10 overall.
Los Angeles Chargers: J.K. Dobbins, RB
Head coach Jim Harbaugh’s teams always prioritize the run, ranking inside the top eight in each of his four years with San Francisco. Dobbins is just one injury away from being the lead back for Los Angeles, which makes his 142.2 ADP the perfect lottery ticket.
Los Angeles Rams: Blake Corum, RB
The Rams’ third-round running back was already slated for a big role, even before starting RB Kyren Williams was deployed on punt returns. Corum runs with aggression and is a weapon in the passing game. The perfect Zero RB target.
Miami Dolphins: Raheem Mostert, RB
Suppose he doesn’t get hurt? There is a 60-pick difference between Mostert and Miami’s RB2, De’Von Achane. Make it make sense.
Minnesota Vikings: Ty Chandler, RB
The perfect post-hype sleeper, behind a veteran running back changing teams and an injury history. Jones posted five-year lows in carries (142), rushing yards (656), receptions (30) and total touchdowns (three).
New England Patriots: DeMario Douglas, WR
Last year’s speedy (4.4) slot receiver should see plenty of value for the negative-gamescript Patriots.
New Orleans Saints: Taysom Hill, TE
If Hill is TE-eligible in your league, he’s a wonderful last-round pick. Goal-line carries for a tight end? In this economy?
New York Giants: Devin Singletary, RB
The clear RB1 for the Giants, who is available in Rounds 9-10 of most drafts.
New York Jets: Garrett Wilson, WR
Wilson secured 95 receptions without Aaron Rodgers. What will he do with a Hall of Fame quarterback?
Philadelphia Eagles: DeVonta Smith, WR
The most affordable piece of one of the best offenses in the NFL. Smith is drafted later than A.J. Brown or Saquon Barkley and is more valuable in the deep quarterback land of fantasy football.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaylen Warren, RB
Take the injury discount on an elite receiving back in a predictable Arthur Smith offense.
San Francisco 49ers: Jordan Mason, RB
The absolute RB2 behind Christian McCaffrey now that Elijah Mitchell has landed on IR. Looked great in the preseason and is the perfect way to put the CMC drafter on tilt.
Seattle Seahawks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR
Will establish himself as the Seattle WR2 behind DK Metcalf. Overcame an early-season rookie injury to finish with four or more targets each week in Weeks 13-16.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Chris Godwin, WR
Three straight years of 128 or more targets and 83 or more receptions. He just needs some positive touchdown regression (five total in the past two seasons). He is being drafted outside the WR3 range at WR37. Blasphemy.
Tennessee Titans: DeAndre Hopkins, WR
Our resident DFS legend, TwoGun, has been pounding the table all offseason for Hopkins.
Washington Commanders: Brian Robinson Jr., RB
Contrary to popular belief, Brian Robinson Jr. can catch passes. He had nine total touchdowns last year and has been praised by the coaching staff. If Kliff Kingsbury can get James Conner 15 touchdowns in Arizona (2021), he can get Robinson at least 10. At this RB31 value, that’s all he needs to pay off.
