College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
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By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots who could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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Similar to what has been provided in past weeks, here are three plays I will anchor my SuperDraft DFS lineups around. While there are typically five plays, I will provide three plays per week and add an “others to consider” section full of the players who round out the vast majority of my player pool.
This gives you the ability to lock in the key three and fill in around it. Below are my top three options for Week 16’s Sunday main slate.
Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings (vs. LA)
Score multiplier: 1.2x
With Dalvin Cook placed on the Reserve/COVID-19 List ahead of the Week 16 game, Alexander Mattison will assume a lead role in this backfield like he has numerous times in the past. If you’ve been living under a rock, Mattison becomes quite the smash play whenever Cook is ruled out, as shown below using FTNDaily’s splits tool:
Averaging over 20 rushing attempts per game and over 115 total yards from scrimmage, Mattison at 1.2x should be one of the most popular building blocks on the slate.
Others to consider: James Robinson (1.15x), Cordarrelle Patterson (1.2x), Javonte Williams (1.25x)
Ronald Jones, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@ CAR)
Score multiplier: 1.4x
If you’re hunting for a running back with a more attractive multiplier, Ronald Jones is going to be your best bet, albeit another popular one. With Leonard Fournette added to the IR after Week 15, Jones is set to assume the RB1 role in the Tampa Bay backfield. While Tampa Bay is one of the more pass-heavy offenses in football, this could change in Week 16 after losing Chris Godwin and with Mike Evans hampered by an injury.
Using the same splits tool referenced above, Jones has seen five games since the start of 2019 where he’s logged at least 40 snaps. In those games, he’s averaged 17.8 carries for 101 yards with an additional 26.8 yards through the air on four receptions with three total touchdowns over that five-game span. Assuming Tampa Bay operates with a positive game script, that only furthers the upside for Jones, who should be quite busy Sunday afternoon.
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Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (@ KC)
Score multiplier: 1.35x
SuperDraft continues to disrespect Diontae Johnson by giving him a 1.35x multiplier is something that I will continue to take advantage of. He’s dominated this offense in target share (28.46%), as the next-closest receiver is nearly 10% behind him in target share (Chase Claypool, 18.5%), and ranks second on the team in receiving scores (6). Against a Kansas City team who can still air it out even if missing one or both of their stars, Johnson should be in for a busy day against an exploitable secondary once again.
Others to consider: Cooper Kupp (1x), Ja’Marr Chase (1.15x), Russell Gage (1.4x), Amon-Ra St. Brown (1.45x), Odell Beckham (1.55x), Mecole Hardman (1.55x), Demarcus Robinson (1.8x)
