Same Game Parlay — Week 6 London Game

Sunday morning kicks off with another London game featuring 2021 No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence vs. 2024 No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams Both signal callers are coming off their best games of the season, topping 300 yards through the air with multiple touchdown passes and leading their teams to victory in Week 6.

However, this matchup sets up a lot better for Chicago’s offense, facing a Jacksonville defense that ranks dead last in DVOA (23.6%) and against the pass (45.9%). The Bears on other hand have shut down opposing quarterbacks, but have been beatable on the ground, ranked second in DVOA against the pass (-24.7%) and 30th against the rush (8.4%).

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Chicago Bears (London)

(Bears -1.5, O/U 44.5, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Caleb Williams 150+ Passing and Rushing Yards

• At least 169 passing and rushing yards in four consecutive games, averaging 240.8 combined passing and rushing yards on the season.
• The Jaguars are dead last in DVOA on defense (23.6%) and against the pass (45.9%), allowing a league-high 322.2 passing and rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Tool, Jacksonville allows a +49% increase in production to opposing signal callers, the highest rate in the league.

DJ Moore 3+ Receptions and 25+ Receiving Yards

• At least 6 targets and 3 receptions in every game with Caleb Williams, averaging 5.4 grabs on 8.4 targets.
• At least 36 receiving yards in four out of five games (80%), averaging 58.8 receiving yards this season.
• Team-leader in route participation rate (96.3%), target share (22.5%) and air yard share (29.4%)
• The Jaguars are 32nd in DVOA against the pass (45.9%), allowing the fourth-most targets (23.4), tied for the third-most receptions (16.4), and second-most receiving yards (210.4) to opposing wide receivers.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Tool, Jacksonville allows a +40% increase in production to opposing wide outs, the second-highest rate in the league.

D’Andre Swift 25+ Rushing and Receiving Yards

• At least 30 rushing and receiving yards in every game, averaging 17.8 touches on 18.6 opportunities and 79.8 yards from scrimmage this season.
• 23 touches and 120 scrimmage yards in back-to-back games.
• The Jaguars allow the second-most targets (7.8) and receiving yards (57) per game to opposing running backs.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Tool, Jacksonville allows a +22% increase in production to opposing backfields, the third-highest rate in the league.

Tank Bigsby 25+ Rushing Yards

• At least 3-plus rushing yards in all three healthy games, excluding Week 2-3 (either out or limited to a 13% snap share dealing with an injury).
• 10.7 carries and 88 rushing yards per game logging a 15%-plus snap share.
• First among all running backs in yards per carry (8.0) and yards after contact per carry (6.5)
• Season-high in snap share (40.4%), rush share (56.5%), carries (13) and rushing yards (101) in Week 5.
• The Bears are 30th in DVOA against the rush (8.4%), allowing the 13^th-most rushing yards (102.4) per game to opposing running backs.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Tool, Jacksonville allows a +6% increase in production to opposing backfields, the 10th-highest rate in the league.

Chicago Bears +23.5

• The Bears have won back-to-back games and have a 3-2 record on the season, entering Week 6 as a slight -1.5 favorite on a neutral field, ranked 20th in DVOA as a team (-3.9%) and seventh on defense (-9.6%) with the sixth best point differential (+5.6) in the league.
• The Jaguars are coming off their first win of the season, bringing their record up to 1-4, entering Week 6 as a slight +1.5 underdog on a neutral field, ranked 27th in DVOA as a team (-21.3%, 27th) and dead last on defense (23.6%), with the third-worst point differential (-9.2) in the league.