Prime-Time Props — Monday Night Football, Week 10

Tonight’s showdown features a battle of the AFC vs. NFC, as the Dolphins travel to Los Angeles to take on the Rams. As of this morning, all of the skill players on the Miami side, outside of De'Von Achane, are unavailable in the betting markets due to the uncertainty of Tyreek Hill, who is currently listed as a “game-time decision” with a wrist injury.

Regardless of Hill’s status, Achane should see significant work on the ground and through the air and has led the team with a 23.5% target share over the last two games with Tua Tagovailoa under center.

Week 10 Monday Night Football Same-Game Parlay

Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford 175+ Passing Yards

(Rams -2.5, O/U 48.5, FanDuel Sportsbook)

221-plus passing yards in seven out of eight games (87.5%), averaging 246.2 yards on 34.5 dropbacks.
279-plus yards in all three full games with Cooper Kupp, averaging 298 yards on 42.3 dropbacks during that span.
The Dolphins are 27th in DVOA against the pass (15.7%).

Puka Nacua 4+ Receptions & 25+ Receiving Yards

Nine targets, seven receptions and 106 receiving yards in the only game playing beyond the first quarter, leading the Rams with a 26.5% target share, despite posting a sub-60% snap share (57%).
The Dolphins are 27th in DVOA against the pass (15.7%) and 30th against WR1s.

Cooper Kupp 25+ Receiving Yards

Six-plus targets, four-plus receptions and 37-plus receiving yards in every game, averaging 8.5 grabs on 12.3 targets for 75.5 yards.
Eight-plus targets, five-plus receptions and 51-plus receiving yards in all three games, logging a 55%-plus snap share, averaging 10 grabs on 14.3 targets for 88.3 yards, seeing a 33.3% target share during that span, leading the NFL in all four categories.
The Dolphins are 27th in DVOA against the pass (15.7%).

De'Von Achane 3+ Receptions & 25+ Rushing Yards

Seven-plus targets, seven-plus receptions and 50-plus receiving yards in all four games with Tua Tagovailoa, averaging seven grabs on 7.5 targets for 63.3 yards during that span, trailing only Tyreek Hill (21.5%) in target share (20.1%).
63-plus rushing yards in three out of four games (75%) with Tua Tagovailoa, averaging 13.5 carries for 70 yards on the ground during that span.
The Rams are 22nd in DVOA against the rush (-2.2%), allowing the third-most carries (25.8) and 10th-most rushing yards (109.4) per game to opposing backfields.
Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, running backs see a +1% boost in production against the Rams.

Kyren Williams 25+ Rushing & Receiving Yards

52-plus rushing and receiving yards in all eight games, averaging 22.6 touches on 23.3 opportunities for 89.8 yards from scrimmage.
Team-high 46.1% touch share and 78.2% rush share, leading the NFL in both categories, trailing only Alvin Kamara (37.5%) in opportunity share (36.7%).
The Dolphins are 27th in DVOA against the rush (3.3%), allowing the 13th-most carries (22.6) and rushing yards (103.8) per game to opposing backfields.
Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, running backs see a +5% boost in production against Miami, the 10th-highest rate in the league.