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Favorite 2025 NFL Draft Props
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Favorite 2025 NFL Draft Props

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We are just one week away from the NFL Draft, which signals the official start of the upcoming 2025 NFL season. The major sportsbooks have been gradually posting draft props over the last two months, but the rumors are now at a fevered pitch as April 24 rapidly approaches. With NFL teams getting more secretive with their picks, there is huge value available in the market to reward extensive research. Which information is actionable? Which information is just noise? 

Here are my player predictions for the 2025 NFL Draft. 

(All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.)

2025 NFL Draft Props and Best Bets

Jaxson Dart Draft Position Under 24.5

Current value: -155

JACKSONVILLE, FL - JANUARY 02: Mississippi Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) looks on after the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl game between the Mississippi Rebels and the Duke Blue Devils on January 2, 2025, at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)
JACKSONVILLE, FL – JANUARY 02: Mississippi Rebels quarterback Jaxson Dart (2) looks on after the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl game between the Mississippi Rebels and the Duke Blue Devils on January 2, 2025, at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

I do not see a scenario where Jaxson Dart makes it past Pittsburgh at pick No. 21. He has prototypical size at 6-foot-2 and 225 pounds, with quality arm strength and mobility. His draft profile mirrors Bo Nix of last season, and he will be off the board before the Texans pick at No. 25. 

Mason Graham Draft Position Over 5.5

Current value: +105

I think the public is misguided on the Jaguars draft plan. New head coach Liam Coen will prioritize the offense given his coordinator experience in Tampa Bay. Without questions still lingering over the long-term plan with quarterback Trevor Lawrence, answers need to come this season. After losing tight end Evan Engram to Denver, I expect the Jaguars to draft wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, pushing the Michigan defensive tackle outside the top five draft spots. 

Total Offensive Linemen Selected in 1st Round Over 6.5

Current value: +150

To quote Jim Harbaugh, “Offensive linemen are weapons.” Protecting the quarterback is priority No. 1 in the NFL, and I always see value in supporting that theory. My latest mock only has five offensive linemen drafted, but that could easily move to six by next Monday. Given the value here, I’ll take this now. 

Total Running Backs Selected in 1st Round Under 2.5 

Current value: -145

Running backs have been devalued in the NFL, with teams moving to committees. You don’t draft a running back in Round 1 unless he is a three-down workhorse. Ashton Jeanty and Omarion Hampton should go, but I don’t see a third rusher until Round 2. 

Mykel Williams Draft Position Over 15.5 

Current value: -110

Biggest discrepancy I have in my latest mock draft. I don’t have Mykel Williams going until Washington at No. 29, our Jeff Ratcliffe doesn’t even have him in Round 1.

Malaki Starks Draft Position Over 23.5 

Current value: -105

Starks is a wonderful player, but safeties can fall in the first round. I projected the Georgia standout to the Rams at No. 26 overall. 

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