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2024 NFL Win Total Picks: The Best Team Over/Unders

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NFL win totals 2024 are out, and the Chiefs, 49ers and Ravens are the favorites to lead the league in the regular season. The Panthers and Patriots are the betting favorites to finish dead last.

This article will run through all NFL win totals for the 2024 season and give you the early edge for the best bets.

(All odds are per DraftKings Sportsbook.)

 

2024 NFL Win Totals

Team Win Total Over Under
Arizona Cardinals 6.5 -110 -110
Atlanta Falcons 10.5 110 -130
Baltimore Ravens 11.5 110 -135
Buffalo Bills 10.5 -145 120
Carolina Panthers 4.5 -125 105
Chicago Bears 8.5 -135 115
Cincinnati Bengals 10.5 -120 100
Cleveland Browns 8.5 115 -135
Dallas Cowboys 10.5 100 -120
Denver Broncos 5.5 -140 115
Detroit Lions 10.5 -105 -115
Green Bay Packers 10.5 130 -155
Houston Texans 9.5 -110 -110
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 110 -135
Jacksonville Jaguars 8.5 -125 105
Kansas City Chiefs 11.5 -110 -110
Las Vegas Raiders 6.5 -135 115
Los Angeles Chargers 8.5 -160 130
Los Angeles Rams 8.5 -110 -110
Miami Dolphins 10.5 125 -145
Minnesota Vikings 6.5 -135 110
New England Patriots 4.5 -115 -105
New Orleans Saints 7.5 -120 100
New York Giants 6.5 115 -135
New York Jets 9.5 125 -150
Philadelphia Eagles 10.5 110 -135
Pittsburgh Steelers 7.5 -150 120
San Francisco 49ers 11.5 125 -150
Seattle Seahawks 7.5 -110 -110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8.5 125 -150
Tennessee Titans 5.5 115 -140
Washington Commanders 7.5 125 -145

Kansas City Chiefs Over 11.5 Wins in 2024

11.5 (-110)

After five consecutive seasons of 12 or more wins, the Chiefs “stumbled” to an 11-6 record in 2023 en route to a second consecutive Super Bowl title. This play is based on the separation between Kansas City and the rest of their AFC West rivals. The Chargers (8.5), Broncos (5.5) and Raiders (6.5) are all projected for substantially fewer wins. 

Dallas Cowboys Over 10.5 Wins in 2024

10.5 (+100)

The regular season is rarely a problem for the Cowboys, who have posted three straight years of 12 wins. Washington has a brand-new coaching staff and projected rookie quarterback, the Giants have major offensive questions and the Eagles could be regressing back to the mean after a disappointing season. The Cowboys won the NFC East with a non-existent running game. 

San Francisco 49ers Under 11.5 Wins in 2024

11.5 (-150)

I hate laying this much juice, but there are a ton of outs for just an 11-win season in San Francisco. Wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk is in contract negotiations, which are clearly contentious. The 49ers also need to bolster their offensive line, to keep minimal reliance on Brock Purdy’s passing ability. After an incredibly efficient season from running back Christian McCaffrey, there are simply too many outs for the under here. 

Detroit Lions Under 10.5 Wins in 2024

10.5 (-115)

Everything went Detroit’s way last season, culminating in a 12-5 record. The Lions will now inherit a first-place NFC North schedule and will see a challenge from a Green Bay team that improved throughout the season. I have my doubts about a Lions repeat, unless they can improve a pass defense that ranked just 16th in DVOA last season. 

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Pittsburgh Steelers Over 7.5 Wins in 2024

7.5 (-150)

This line is on the move, and I was fortunate to grab it at -140. The Steelers finished 10-7 with the worst offense in recent Pittsburgh history, ranking just 20th in passing offense DVOA. Former starting quarterback Kenny Pickett started 12 games and threw just six touchdowns with four interceptions. The addition of quarterback Russell Wilson and Justin Fields makes it difficult to envision the Steelers posting three wins fewer than 2023. 

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