2021 NFL dynasty rankings


Season-long fantasy football was my first love. Daily fantasy was my first job. And best ball is my fun side hobby.

But dynasty — she’s my wife, the forever love.

Of all the fantasy formats out there, dynasty is my favorite. Like life, it forces you to deal with the consequences of your actions. Every decision, be it large or small, has long-term repercussions.

And I’m the kind of person who likes to focus on the long run. Life is a marathon. (Of course, I have never run a marathon, so I don’t know what I’m saying.) The point is that I like dynasty, and you can check out my top 250 players for the format on the FTN rankings page. Below are my rankings at each position; I go into more depth on the rankings page.

Take a look at my positional rankings, and below, I’ll discuss some of the players I’m higher or lower on than the general consensus.

QB dynasty rankings 2021

A look at my top 15 QBs in dynasty fantasy football.

Quarterback Team Pos Rk
Patrick Mahomes KC QB1
Kyler Murray ARI QB2
Josh Allen BUF QB3
Lamar Jackson BAL QB4
Dak Prescott DAL QB5
Justin Herbert LAC QB6
Trey Lance SF QB7
Trevor Lawrence JAC QB8
Deshaun Watson HOU QB9
Joe Burrow CIN QB10
Russell Wilson SEA QB11
Jalen Hurts PHI QB12
Aaron Rodgers GB QB13
Justin Fields CHI QB14
Ryan Tannehill TEN QB15

RB dynasty rankings 2021

A look at my top 25 RBs in dynasty fantasy football.

Running back Team Pos Rk
Christian McCaffrey CAR RB1
Jonathan Taylor IND RB2
Saquon Barkley NYG RB3
Najee Harris PIT RB4
Dalvin Cook MIN RB5
Alvin Kamara NO RB6
Cam Akers LAR RB7
Antonio Gibson WAS RB8
Travis Etienne JAC RB9
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC RB10
Javonte Williams DEN RB11
Joe Mixon CIN RB12
J.K. Dobbins BAL RB13
Derrick Henry TEN RB14
Aaron Jones GB RB15
Nick Chubb CLE RB16
Austin Ekeler LAC RB17
Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB18
Miles Sanders PHI RB19
D’Andre Swift DET RB20
Josh Jacobs LV RB21
Trey Sermon SF RB22
Kareem Hunt CLE RB23
David Montgomery CHI RB24
Myles Gaskin MIA RB25

WR dynasty rankings 2021

A look at my top 35 WRs in dynasty fantasy football.

Wide receiver Team Pos Rk
Justin Jefferson MIN WR1
A.J. Brown TEN WR2
Stefon Diggs BUF WR3
Calvin Ridley ATL WR4
Tyreek Hill KC WR5
D.K. Metcalf SEA WR6
D.J. Moore CAR WR7
CeeDee Lamb DAL WR8
Davante Adams GB WR9
Ja’Marr Chase CIN WR10
Tee Higgins CIN WR11
Brandon Aiyuk SF WR12
DeAndre Hopkins ARI WR13
Terry McLaurin WAS WR14
Amari Cooper DAL WR15
Michael Thomas NO WR16
Mike Evans TB WR17
Chris Godwin TB WR18
Chase Claypool PIT WR19
Jerry Jeudy DEN WR20
Will Fuller MIA WR21
Julio Jones TEN WR22
Laviska Shenault JAC WR23
Diontae Johnson PIT WR24
Keenan Allen LAC WR25
JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT WR26
Allen Robinson CHI WR27
Jaylen Waddle MIA WR28
DeVonta Smith PHI WR29
Elijah Moore NYJ WR30
Courtland Sutton DEN WR31
Kenny Golladay NYG WR32
Deebo Samuel SF WR33
Terrace Marshall CAR WR34
Rashod Bateman BAL WR35

TE dynasty rankings 2021

A look at my top 15 TEs in dynasty fantasy football.

Tight end Team Pos Rk
Kyle Pitts ATL TE1
George Kittle SF TE2
Darren Waller LV TE3
Travis Kelce KC TE4
Mark Andrews BAL TE5
T.J. Hockenson DET TE6
Noah Fant DEN TE7
Dallas Goedert PHI TE8
Jonnu Smith NE TE9
Irv Smith Jr. MIN TE10
Mike Gesicki MIA TE11
Cole Kmet CHI TE12
Logan Thomas WAS TE13
Hunter Henry NE TE14
Robert Tonyan GB TE15

Players I like more than the consensus

  • Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers: With his Konami Code rushing ability (1,159 yards rushing in 16 games as a redshirt freshman), Lance has a markedly elevated floor, and in head coach Kyle Shanahan’s offensive system he should have a high ceiling as a passer.
  • Najee Harris, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: True lead backs are scarce, and big backs who can catch are even scarcer. Harris has the size (6-foot-2 and 230 pounds) to be a between-the-tackles grinder and the pass-catching ability (43-425-4 receiving in 13 games as a senior) to be a three-down dominator.
  • Julio Jones, WR, Tennessee Titans: One of my 10 bold predictions for 2021 is that Jones (along with teammate A.J. Brown) will continue to dominate. Of all active wide receivers with multiple seasons and 100-plus targets over the past five years, Jones is No. 2 with 10.1 yards per target (including postseason). The guy can still ball.
  • Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta Falcons: No other tight end in NFL history has had Pitts’ combination of draft capital, college production and physical dominance.

Players I like less than the consensus

  • Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs: I love Mahomes, but I’m generally down on quarterbacks as a whole, and the NFL is particularly blessed with depth at the position right now.
  • Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers: Just last year, the Packers drafted bulldozing running back A.J. Dillon in Round 2, and Jones is entering his age-27 season. When the end comes for rushers, it arrives quickly.
  • Allen Robinson, WR, Chicago Bears: More of a high-volume producer than an efficient playmaker, Robinson is almost 28 years old, and this season he’ll be catching passes from a nearly washed-up veteran and a promising-yet-raw rookie.
  • Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: For the past half decade, Kelce has been one of the league’s best players, but he’ll turn 32 this season, and the other tight ends in his tier are all significantly younger.

My fantasy dynasty methodology

Here are some notes on how I tend to approach players in dynasty and the factors I consider.

  • Age: I prioritize youth. Younger players tend to last longer than older players and are likelier to have more production in the future. Unless a veteran provides starter-level production right now, I will likely have him ranked after younger players with more long-tailed ceiling potential.
  • Timeframe: I focus most on a three-year window and the production I can reasonably forecast within that time. After that, projections become much less reliable.
  • Scarcity: I usually devalue deep positions, which means that quarterbacks are often low in my rankings.
  • Longevity: I tend to prefer wide receivers to running backs and tight ends because they produce deeper into their careers.
  • Player-type priorities: Depending on the type of player I’m analyzing, I prioritize the following data points in this order.
    • Young players: Draft capital, physical profile, college production, recent production, projected opportunity.
    • Prime veterans: Long-term production, decline curve, recent production, and projected opportunity.
    • Aging veterans: Recent production, projected opportunity, decline curve, long-term production.
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